Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.007717 0.008678 0.009727 0.010962 0.012378 0.013955 0.015848
2025-01-12 0.005968 0.007218 0.008700 0.010601 0.012987 0.015904 0.019771
2025-01-19 0.005019 0.006362 0.008044 0.010325 0.013371 0.017341 0.022981
2025-01-26 0.004451 0.005861 0.007705 0.010326 0.014010 0.019078 0.026720
2025-02-02 0.004172 0.005682 0.007736 0.010782 0.015267 0.021756 0.032099
2025-02-09 0.003789 0.005307 0.007441 0.010721 0.015745 0.023337 0.036038
2025-02-16 0.003518 0.005056 0.007284 0.010824 0.016453 0.025313 0.040841
2025-02-23 0.003222 0.004736 0.006987 0.010670 0.016722 0.026602 0.044661
2025-03-02 0.003038 0.004564 0.006891 0.010811 0.017466 0.028735 0.050225
2025-03-09 0.002828 0.004332 0.006679 0.010733 0.017824 0.030235 0.054846
2025-03-16 0.002568 0.003998 0.006273 0.010289 0.017493 0.030467 0.057075
2025-03-23 0.002408 0.003812 0.006092 0.010210 0.017794 0.031871 0.061799
2025-03-30 0.002351 0.003797 0.006203 0.010671 0.019170 0.035541 0.071940
2025-04-06 0.002154 0.003534 0.005873 0.010309 0.018960 0.036118 0.075633
2025-04-13 0.001995 0.003321 0.005610 0.010042 0.018902 0.036978 0.080091
2025-04-20 0.001891 0.003198 0.005496 0.010043 0.019372 0.038994 0.087586
2025-04-27 0.001859 0.003199 0.005605 0.010485 0.020796 0.043253 0.101338
2025-05-04 0.001761 0.003073 0.005469 0.010426 0.021151 0.045181 0.109597
2025-05-11 0.001692 0.002995 0.005415 0.010526 0.021862 0.048024 0.120844
2025-05-18 0.001598 0.002864 0.005250 0.010376 0.021993 0.049503 0.128639
2025-05-25 0.001545 0.002805 0.005220 0.010513 0.022795 0.052733 0.142137
2025-06-01 0.001472 0.002704 0.005099 0.010437 0.023089 0.054726 0.152409
2025-06-08 0.001367 0.002534 0.004828 0.010007 0.022483 0.054303 0.155138